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As artificial intelligence reshapes the character of conflict, NATO’s greatest challenge may not be technological disruption itself, but uncertainty. AI-enabled cyberattacks, deepfakes, autonomous systems, and proxy operations can blur the line between disruption and armed attack, making it harder for Allies to determine who is responsible, whether Article 5 applies, and how to respond. This article argues that collective defense is not obsolete, but it must adapt. To preserve deterrence in an age of algorithmic warfare, NATO needs clearer legal attribution standards, effect-based thresholds for armed attack, and a graduated response doctrine that strengthens credibility without escalating every hostile act into collective defense.

The piece argues that while Saddam Hussein was widely contested, his central fear—expanding Iranian influence in Iraq—has ultimately materialized in the post‑2003 era. Today, Iraq exists less as a fully sovereign state and more as a contested space shaped by external powers, internal fragmentation, and regional conflicts. The outcome is a country caught in entanglement, where Iraqis bear the consequences of geopolitical struggles they neither fully control nor initiate.

This publication is a write up of the recent UK OSINT Community event in London ,with insights shared by speakers in corporate reputation management, WMD monitoring, academia, criminal prosecution and private-sector violent extremism prevention.

In the fog of war, the Middle East’s political landscape is undergoing a rapid strategic reorganisation.

Western Europe's political risk landscape has shifted; not through democratic breakdown, but through fragmentation. As coalitions grow more complex and short-lived, investors face two concrete threats: policy decisions that stall during government formation, and policy commitments that don't survive the next election. Drawing on recent experience in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Denmark, this analysis maps the pressure points, identifies the wedge issues driving coalition fractures, and sets out what the new governing normal means for investment decisions across the region.

From a seven-year-old refugee crossing the Aegean Sea in a small boat to the most sensitive national security post in the country, Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius’s rise has been anything but ordinary. This is the story of how she became the Minister of Defence of the Kingdom of the Netherlands.

This publication is a roundup from the public talk held on 26 February 2026, hosted at the Royal Society of Arts in London. The topic of the conversation was disinformation in democracies and included speakers like Eliot Higgins, Founder of Bellingcat and investigative journalist Carole Cadwalladr.

As we move into 2026, I want to take a few pages to reflect on one of the defining trends of today’s geopolitical landscape– a throughline from nearly all of my recent conversations with policymakers, academics, and civil society organizations

NATO’s nuclear deterrent remains credible in 2025, but it now has to manage overlapping crises rather than a single stand‑off. With Russia’s nuclear signalling, China’s rapid build‑up, and rising risks from Iran, North Korea and new technologies, effective deterrence depends less on warhead counts and more on modernisation, clear signalling, and allied cohesion as 2026 approaches.

This publication takes a quick tour to recent developments in Indonesia. Following the announcement of extra benefits for parliamentarians, protesters hit the streets due to socio-economic frustration. The protests turned from bad to worse when a 21-year old Gojek driver was run over by a riot police car. The consequences of these events have been widely shared on social media, of which I attempted to capture a sample of.